Wednesday, 30 November 2011

Forex - India Flows: USD/INR; Bond auction attracts FIIs; Apr-Oct fiscal deficit; Infra data

USD/INR was slam-dunk to 51.70 lows soon after the opening bell on Thu, down from 52.20 close yest. Bid EUR and hefty 3.0% rally on the local equity index weighed on the pairing, with passage of end-month bids also fanning the pair's bearish bias. Convincing pullback below tech support of 51.75 will expose 51.42 next. Bond yields meanwhile treaded water at 8.75% in early hours as improved risk-uptake supported at dips, while news of oversubscribed FII bond auctions yest weighed. Auction of USD 10bn increase in ceiling for FII interests in local bonds were oversubscribed according to sources cited by Reuters. Meanwhile in another sign of deteriorating public finances, Apr-Oct fiscal deficit stood at INR 3.1tr (USD 58.7bn) or accounting for 74% of full-year target and higher than 43% in the comparable period last year. Separately flagging a weak IP outcome, Oct infrastructure output eased to 0.1% y/y from 2.3% in Sep - slowest in nearly six years. Nov PMI-manufacturing and Oct trade numbers will be released shortly. RR

WORLD FOREX- Global Central Bank Action Sends Dollar Plummeting

WORLD FOREX

NEW YORK -(Dow Jones)- A coordinated effort by global central banks to improve liquidity in financial markets sent the dollar plunging Wednesday.
The dollar dropped across the board after major central banks including the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank agreed to lower the cost of emergency U.S. dollar loans. The ECB has been the biggest borrower in recent months from the Fed through the emergency lending lines as it tries to stabilize the region's banking sector beset by the ongoing debt crisis.
The move provided what analysts say is at least temporary relief from the worries that have plagued financial markets in recent weeks about evaporating liquidity. The action is also an indication that officials are trying stabilize problems in the short term while trying to hammer out longer term solutions to Europe's debt crisis, analysts said.
"This is a positive in the short-run addressing funding needs," said John McCarthy, manager director of foreign exchange at ING Capital Markets in New York. "It doesn't do anything to alleviate long-term problems."
Still, the relief was immediately apparent as the dollar tumbled abruptly on the news that borrowing the currency could become cheaper for banks around the globe.
The euro was at $1.3446 in late trading Wednesday, but hit a session high of $1.3534 just after the news broke, according to EBS via CQG. That compares to a session low of $1.3259 and a late-Tuesday level of $1.3316.
The sharp move in the euro against the dollar was exacerbated by a short squeeze as many traders unwound bets the euro would fall as the common currency shot higher on the news, said Marc Chandler, global head of foreign exchange at Brown Brothers Harriman in New York.
Speculative traders had built up their biggest anti-euro bets since June 2010 last week, according to the latest data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. The net short euro position, or net speculative bets the euro would fall against the dollar, totaled $14.36 billion as of Nov. 22, according to the CFTC.
The dollar's decline was universal across the board as investors sought out nearly all other currencies, as well as equities and commodities, at the expense of the greenback. Even currencies like the yen, which are considered safe havens, gained on the dollar.
The dollar dropped against the yen, falling to Y77.63 from Y77.93 late Tuesday. The dollar was trading at CHF0.9134 from CHF0.9208, while the U.K. pound was at $1.5704 from $1.5591.
The ICE Dollar Index, which tracks the U.S. dollar against a basket of currencies, was at about 78.335 from 79.007.
The so-called dollar swap lines allow central banks like the ECB to borrow dollars from the Federal Reserve in one-week or three-month periods. The ECB can then turn around and loans those dollars to European banks, which might be facing funding stresses or liquidity problems.
The ECB borrowed $552 million via the Fed swap line last as week at a rate of 108 basis points. Today's latest move to improve global financial market liquidity would cut that rate by 50 basis points, making it much cheaper for European banks to access dollars than they might otherwise be able to in traditional banking funding markets.

FOREX-Euro takes breather after rally; Aussie dips


* Euro stabilises after rallying on c.bank liquidity steps
* Aussie dips, giving back a bit of previous day's 2.8 pct surge
* Short-covering may lift euro toward $1.36 near-term -trader
* Market awaits steps from euro zone to tackle debt crisis
* Spanish bond auction coming up later on Thursday

Gold fund assets soar as investors SIP up


COIMBATORE: It took more than four years for gold exchange traded funds (ETFs) to get past the Rs 4,000-crore mark in assets under management (AUM). But gold funds, its much younger sibling, which invests in gold ETFs, have grown at frenetic pace and have accumulated net assets of over Rs 1,800 crore in just six months. The category itself came into existence only in the early part of 2011. 


Gold funds have emerged as a favoured investment choice for those taking exposure to the yellow metal largely due to the convenience it offers . While investors must have a demat account to invest in gold ETFs, there is no such requirement for gold funds. Moreover, investors can do a SIP (systematic investment plan) with gold funds. 

Small savings agents stare at life sans income


MUMBAI: Chetna Lodaya, a 53-year-old cancer patient from Ghatkopar, a suburb in eastern Mumbai, has been earning a living selling small savings schemes. She now wonders how she will run her household, which includes three children, with the government discontinuing commissions on most small saving schemes with effect from December 1. Sunil Naik followed in his retired father's footsteps of selling schemes like Public Provident Fund (PPF), Senior Citizen Scheme, Monthly Income Scheme (MIS), National Saving Certificate (NSC) and Kisan Vikas Patra (KVP). His agency thrived to such an extent that his wife quit her job to help him. Naik has a client base of over 500. Being the only earning member , nearly 10 family members are dependent on his earnings. Now overnight the family has been rendered without a livelihood. 

Ranbaxy gets approval to launch generic Lipitor in US


MUMBAI: Ranbaxy has got the much-awaited approval from the US Food and Drug Administration to launch the generic version of drug Lipitor in the United States.

Lipitor is the world's largest selling cholesterol-lowering drug, and may bring $500-600 million to the company over the next six months.

Asia Stocks, Won Jump on Central Banks Move


Asian stocks (MXAP) rallied, South Korea’s won jumped the most in four weeks and the dollar held at a one- week low after central banks took steps to ease Europe’s debt crisis and support economic growth.
The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 3.5 percent at 1:40 p.m. in Tokyo, set for its largest increase since Sept. 27. Standard & Poor’s 500 Index futures gained 0.2 percent, following the stock gauge’s 4.3 percent surge yesterday. China’s interest-rate swaps sank to the lowest level in a year. The won strengthened as much as 1.8 percent and the Dollar Index dropped as much as 0.2 percent. Oil traded above $100 a barrel in New York.